Wheel on Paper · Rulebook v3.5

Portfolio dashboard

Session 21 · 2 October 2026 · Live-session report · USD

✦ AI-Powered Strategy
Wheel strategy is applied with AI based algorithms.
ℹ Paper Trading
This is a paper trading practice for education purposes only.

● REALTIME quotes verified · FOUR FILLS
Net liquidation value
$1,016,020.65
+$2,967.70 vs 1 Oct
Free cash
$248,115.65
$5,659.26 above buffer floor
Short-put capital reserved
$756,750
74.48% of NAV · 11 open puts
Deployable headroom
$16,814
Buffer permits a new strike of only about $56

Portfolio performance · since inception

+1.60%

$1,000,000 implied starting NAV → $1,016,020.65 ending NAV · gain $16,020.65

The source reports +$16,020.65 (+1.60%) since inception, implying a $1,000,000 starting baseline. The baseline date is not explicitly stated, so no dated performance period is asserted.

Benchmark performance

SPY
+0.76%
763.99 → 769.78
QQQ
+1.08%
742.03 → 750.03
Portfolio
+1.60%
Since-inception; baseline date unspecified
SPY/QQQ daily price changes from 1 Oct to 2 Oct using the prior dashboard's 1 Oct values and this book-state's intraday 2 Oct values. Not a same-period cumulative comparison; excludes dividends.

Market regime

NEUTRAL

Full size · no override

SPY / 50-DMA769.78 / 763.7050 (+0.80%)
SPY / 200-DMA769.78 / 720.4717 (+6.84%)
QQQ / 50-DMA750.03 / 716.8260 (+4.63%)
QQQ / 200-DMA750.03 / 668.6063 (+12.18%)
SPY's margin above its 50-DMA widened from +0.12% to +0.80%; regime verdict is unchanged when the partial bar is excluded.

Volatility & buffer

VIX / VIX* (3-session)15.68 / 16.14
VIX 5-session change+5.4%
VIX9D / VIX3M12.78 / 18.26
Term structureContango +5.48 pts
Buffer floor$242,456.39
Free cash above floor$5,659.26
Deployable headroom$16,814.26
Buffer is the binding constraint. Run §7.1 before pricing any new chain.

Sentiment · verified neutral

NEUTRAL
Trend conditionPASS · +0.80% margin
Volatility conditionPASS
CNN Fear & Greed27 · Fear
S&P breadth above 50-DMA23.0% · FAIL

Breadth dated 1 Oct (one day stale). External breadth/fear-greed condition failed for the fifth consecutive session. Neutral buffer constants and 60% deployment target apply.

Open short puts · management view

11 positions · $756,750 reserved · live midpoint marks
Session gate passed: task fired at 17:03 UTC / 13:03 ET, inside RTH. REALTIME status was re-verified immediately before all four fills. No actions deferred.
TickerExpiryContractQtyReservedCreditMark% max profitDeltaP(assign)OTMSpotManagement note
DELLOct 16 '26520P1$52,00013.057.550+42.1%-0.20323.6%8.2%566.27Nearest take; 14 DTE, 7.9 pts from 50% take
CBRSNov 20 '26170P5$85,0008.0518.350−128.0%-0.44455.3%−0.4% ITM169.32ITM; break-even 161.95; no stop-loss rule
SNOWNov 20 '26310P2$62,00012.7510.700+16.1%-0.25731.9%9.2%341.57Hold
HUMNov 20 '26320P3$96,00011.307.950+29.6%-0.15821.5%17.1%386.06Hold; 49.1% spread, soft mark
ANETNov 20 '26180P5$90,0006.505.250+19.2%-0.20626.6%12.7%206.23Hold
APHNov 20 '2677.5P1$7,7503.052.025+33.6%-0.21226.5%11.2%87.24Hold
APHNov 20 '2680P4$32,0002.672.700−1.1%-0.26732.7%8.3%87.24NEW · earnings exception
FTNTNov 20 '26160P3$48,0006.056.100−0.8%-0.24031.2%11.6%180.93NEW · earnings exception
NETDec 18 '26300P3$90,00017.0016.875+0.7%-0.23633.6%14.9%352.70Hold
RBRKJan 15 '2795P10$95,0007.155.000+30.1%-0.19429.8%19.8%118.51Hold
VLOJan 15 '27330P3$99,00016.9511.800+30.4%-0.16824.5%19.3%408.68Hold
CBRS: $0.68 in the money, delta −0.444 and −128.0% of maximum profit (−$5,150). Break-even is $161.95; spot remains 4.4% above break-even. The 21-DTE date is 30 Oct; the roll-down trigger is |δ| > 0.45 then. No stop-loss is defined.
DELL: +42.1% of max profit and 14 DTE; it is 7.9 percentage points from the 50% take. Closing would free $52,000.
New earnings-exception exposure: FTNT ×3 and APH ×4 reserve $80,000 (7.87% NAV). FTNT reports 29 Oct and APH 28 Oct, both before their 20 Nov expiry.

Cash & deployment

Total cash$1,004,865.65
Reserved$756,750.00
Free cash$248,115.65
Buffer floor$242,456.39
Deployable amount$773,564.26
60% target of NAV$609,612.39
Reserved above target14.48 pts / $147,137.61
Sector cap$464,138.55
Per-name cap$101,602.07
Max deployable$896,750 · 88.26% NAV

Sector concentration

Software · SNOW, RBRK, NET, FTNT$295,000 · 29.04% NAV
AI infra / Power · DELL, ANET$142,000 · 13.98% NAV
Semis / Components · CBRS, APH ×2$124,750 · 12.28% NAV
Energy · VLO + COP LEAPS$123,750 · 12.18% NAV
Healthcare · HUM$96,000 · 9.45% NAV
Financials · MET LEAPS$23,850 · 2.35% NAV

No sector is near the 60% cap; Software is the largest.

LEAPS · COP Dec 17, 2027 120 Call ×10

−$3,425.00

−13.84% unrealised · mark 21.325 vs entry premium 24.75

Current spot$126.76
Fixed take / stop$142.274 / $116.406
Days held8 of 14
14-day time-exit date08 Oct 2026
Time exit statusHOLD_NOT_YET
From 8 Oct, if neither fixed level has been reached and option mid is strictly above 24.75, sell to close. Current mark needs +16.0%; today it is still underwater.

LEAPS · MET Dec 17, 2027 87.5 Call ×15

−$225.00

Entry 2 Oct · mark 15.750 vs paid 15.90 · entry slippage only

Current spot$94.82 intraday
Take / stop (provisional)$104.302 / $85.338
DTE / days held441 / 0
14-day mark16 Oct 2026
Required next run: re-strike ±10% levels from MET's final 2 Oct closing price. Current levels are provisional and must then remain fixed.

Universe funnel · 50-name owner list

Supplied50
Pass attrition36
Fail test 1 only7
Fail test 2 only6
Fail both1
Unknown / errors0 / 0
Full 50-name pass; 0 skipped, 0 unknown. REGN flipped FAIL → PASS on the partial bar only and fails when that bar is excluded.
Live LEAPS triggersMET, REGN, MPLX, ELV
New entriesFTNT 160P ×3 · APH 80P ×4
Blocked from new entriesCBRS, SNOW, DELL, NET, RBRK

P&L summary

Realised gross$18,666.00
Realised net (closed cycles)$18,468.20
Unrealised−$2,402.00
Premium received / paid back$90,745 / $37,036
LEAPS premium paid$48,600.00
Commissions$243.35
Total P&L+$16,020.65
Closed cycles19 · +$18,468.20 net · none assigned
AMD Oct-16 560P ×1 closed at 80.9% of max profit: +$1,090 gross, +$1,088 net; $56,000 capital freed. MET LEAPS opened.

Operational flags

  • Next-session must-do: re-strike MET LEAPS take/stop from 2 Oct final close; current levels are provisional.
  • Buffer extremely tight: only $5,659.26 free cash above floor and $16,814.26 deployable headroom.
  • DELL nearest take: +42.1% at 14 DTE; a close frees $52,000.
  • CBRS: ITM for second session; delta −0.444, only 0.006 below the 0.45 roll-down trigger at 21 DTE on 30 Oct. No stop-loss.
  • Earnings exception: FTNT reports 29 Oct and APH 28 Oct; $80,000 reserved through the earnings cluster.
  • Trade log: authoritative file is claude/trade-log-part6.md; parts 1–5 frozen. Rotate to part 7 past ~60 KB.
  • Schedule: task fired at 17:03 UTC against 17:02 UTC slot; only one minute late. Question 48 remains unresolved.
  • VIX history: use exchange: "CBOE" on index history calls.

Next-session priorities · Mon 5 Oct 2026

No deferred actions

1 · Re-strike MET LEAPS levels

Pull MET's final 2 Oct close. Recompute fixed ±10% take/stop from that close and replace provisional 104.302 / 85.338.

2 · Run management gates

Check DELL for §6 take; watch CBRS delta and break-even. COP is day 8/14; time exit becomes active 8 Oct.

3 · Buffer before any chain

Free cash is only $5,659.26 above its floor. Current deployable headroom is $16,814.26; a new strike is capped at roughly $56. No new chain before the buffer test.

4 · Fresh session calculations

Recompute regime, VIX, sentiment, attrition and all entry gates from scratch. Keep the earnings-exception count and $80,000 reserved visible.

Next-session checklist · Monday 5 Oct 2026

  1. First: MET LEAPS. Retrieve the final 2 Oct MET close and re-strike the ±10% levels; record final levels and the change from provisional values.
  2. Run §6 management on open short puts. DELL is nearest to the 50% take (+42.1%, 14 DTE); CBRS is ITM and |δ| is 0.006 below the 0.45 threshold that matters at 21 DTE on 30 Oct.
  3. Run the §7.1 buffer test before pricing any chain. Free cash is $5,659.26 above the floor; deployable headroom is $16,814.26.
  4. Recompute regime, buffer and §7.1B sentiment fresh. Neutral sentiment remains in force because trend and volatility pass but external breadth/fear-greed fails.
  5. Monitor both earnings-exception puts: APH ×4 reports 28 Oct; FTNT ×3 reports 29 Oct; $80,000 reserved through those reports.
  6. Check COP LEAPS: day 8 of 14, time-exit active 8 Oct; mark 21.325 vs 24.75 paid.
  7. Run the universe/entry funnel from scratch. Do not carry forward partial-bar-dependent REGN verdicts or prior chain results.
  8. Keep trade-log writes in claude/trade-log-part6.md; parts 1–5 are frozen. Rotate to part 7 past ~60 KB.
  9. Verify the task fires on time and all fill quotes show REALTIME; today's one-minute-late run does not resolve the recurring schedule question.